PoliticsExpires Apr 30, 2026

Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in April 2026?

Probability

0¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

-1.1pp

24h Vol

$95.67

Liquidity

$17.2K

Probability (last 7 days)

-0.2pp 7d
Apr 20, 2026, 10:00Apr 27, 2026, 09:01
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 4 factors
  • 1

    Down 1pp over 24h

    Now 0¢; flat in the last hour.

  • 2

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 63h with open resolution ambiguity.

  • 3

    Thin liquidity

    Only $17.2k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

  • 4

    Expiry in 63h

    Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
  • Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 63 hours.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 63.0h

    HIGH
  • 09:01Signal

    Resolution risk

    Expires in 63h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW

Price movement

-1.0pp over the last 24h, now 0¢.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

14
Same eventWho will Trump meet with in April?
Category · Politics

Market Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual meets with Donald Trump between April 1, and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A meeting is defined as any encounter where both the listed individual and Trump are present and interact with each other in person. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
Apr 30, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Primary
consensus of credible reporting
Type
News consensus
Confidence
extracted · medium
Market type
Binary
  • Market expires Apr 30, 2026 — dispute window active.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.

Top Holders

20 wallets
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