Ironclad-Medicine
0x2703925e96e9f7fae43dd2d77dc72ecda3dcf506
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
184
Open notional
$429.50
Total PnL
$-2.1K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 184- NO
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
100 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$99.95
$-0.05
- NO
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
100 shares @ 99.7¢·now 99.2¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$99.45
$-0.55
- NO
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
60 shares @ 99.7¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$59.97
$-0.03
- NO
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
32 shares @ 93.7¢·now 77.8¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$24.91
$-5.09
- ST. LOUIS CARDINALS
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. St. Louis Cardinals
43 shares @ 46.6¢·now 53.5¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$22.95
$2.95
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
24 shares @ 83.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$20.60
$0.60
- MAYWEATHER
Floyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 2
30 shares @ 65.9¢·now 56.5¢·exp Sep 20, 2026$17.14
$-2.86
- LG TWINS
KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. LG Twins
19 shares @ 52.0¢·now 78.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$15.01
$5.01
- BOSTON RED SOX
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees
21 shares @ 47.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$10.74
$0.74
- YES
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?
11 shares @ 92.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.05
$0.05
Recent activity
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$20.10Jul 21, 16:19 UTC
- REDEEMLos Angeles Dodgers vs. Philadelphia Phillies$17.54Jul 21, 02:30 UTC
- REDEEMPittsburgh Pirates vs. New York Yankees$18.87Jul 21, 02:14 UTC
- REDEEMTampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays$24.39Jul 21, 01:54 UTC
- REDEEMPalermo: Ekaterine Gorgodze vs Ane Mintegi Del Olmo$2.27Jul 20, 21:37 UTC
- REDEEMEstoril Open: Titouan Droguet vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli$21.28Jul 20, 15:16 UTC
- REDEEMLivesport Prague Open: Veronika Podrez vs Carol Young Suh Lee$18.21Jul 20, 14:30 UTC
- REDEEMGenerali Open: Lukas Neumayer vs Yannick Hanfmann$13.70Jul 20, 13:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYSan Francisco Giants vs. Kansas City Royals$4.55Jul 20, 11:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew York Mets vs. Milwaukee Brewers$10.33Jul 20, 11:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYSan Diego Padres vs. Atlanta Braves$10.28Jul 20, 11:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYLos Angeles Dodgers vs. Philadelphia Phillies$10.21Jul 20, 11:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYTampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays$10.29Jul 20, 11:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYPittsburgh Pirates vs. New York Yankees$10.23Jul 20, 11:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYMinnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardians$10.23Jul 20, 11:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$56.37Jul 20, 11:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYPalermo: Ekaterine Gorgodze vs Ane Mintegi Del Olmo$1.05Jul 20, 11:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Corvinul 1921 Hunedoara win on 2026-07-20?$10.22Jul 20, 11:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYLivesport Prague Open: Antonia Ruzic vs Dominika Salkova$10.23Jul 20, 11:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYLivesport Prague Open: Veronika Podrez vs Carol Young Suh Lee$10.23Jul 20, 11:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
26 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 57/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $21.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 10, 09:32 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 16:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.