Noteworthy-Shampoo
0x270d627c490ea2a58a66215ab0ee8db9c1d45ff2
Wallet digest
Activity score
51/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
31
Open notional
$117.14
Total PnL
$-2.3K
Realised
$-450.54
Win rate
14%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 31- YES
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 20 and 40 years in prison?
125 shares @ 8.0¢·now 20.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$25.47
$15.47
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
294 shares @ 17.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$16.18
$-33.82
- YES
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
105 shares @ 19.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$15.26
$-4.74
- YES
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?
454 shares @ 13.2¢·now 3.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$14.99
$-45.01
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
368 shares @ 10.9¢·now 3.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$13.41
$-26.59
- YES
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
103 shares @ 29.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$12.93
$-17.07
- YES
Will Israel strike 7 countries in 2026?
310 shares @ 9.7¢·now 1.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.42
$-24.58
- YES
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to less than 20 years in prison?
79 shares @ 12.6¢·now 6.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$4.92
$-5.08
- YES
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 40 and 60 years in prison?
62 shares @ 16.0¢·now 7.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$4.80
$-5.20
- YES
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?
11 shares @ 44.0¢·now 33.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$3.75
$-1.25
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 5, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 4, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 3, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 2, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 1, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 30, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 29, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 28, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 27, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 26, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 25, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 24, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 23, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 22, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 21, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 20, 00:20 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 19, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 18, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 17, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 16, 00:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
22/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
14% win rate over 7 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
9 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 54/100.
7 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 9
- Avg trade size
- $10.44
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 26, 15:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 5, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.