Imperfect-Stair
0x270fb899efb7736c3ec7565d63d56c58a9a3b303
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$73.83
Total PnL
$-96.47
Realised
$2.37
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?
208 shares @ 2.4¢·now 22.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$46.56
$41.56
- YES
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?
94 shares @ 10.6¢·now 14.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$13.22
$3.22
- YES
Adam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?
133 shares @ 5.0¢·now 5.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.93
$1.27
- YES
Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by June 30?
409 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.07
$-5.93
- NO
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
16 shares @ 32.0¢·now 19.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.05
$-1.95
- YES
Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by April 30?
1034 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Millwall FC win on 2026-05-08?
102 shares @ 39.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will Millwall FC win on 2026-05-11?
45 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?
41 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$0.00
$-22.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET
40 shares @ 63.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Canada win on 2026-06-12?$22.30Jun 12, 11:27 UTC
- TRADESELLEpstein client list released by June 30?$6.23May 22, 10:53 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 22, 00:14 UTC
- TRADESELLPutin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?$16.05May 21, 12:07 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 21, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 20, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 19, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 18, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 17, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 16, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 15, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 14, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 13, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 12, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Millwall FC win on 2026-05-11?$20.34May 11, 19:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026?$0.91May 11, 14:26 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 11, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 10, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 9, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Millwall FC win on 2026-05-08?$10.19May 8, 19:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 19
- Avg trade size
- $13.75
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 1, 07:37 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 12, 11:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.