Cold-Pollution
0x271e8ced7085d5b59e59c0955a1c5959d7bb1597
Wallet digest
Activity score
78/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$42.56
Total PnL
$-1.84
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?
10 shares @ 70.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.55
$1.55
- YES
Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?
10 shares @ 80.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$8.45
$0.45
- NO
Kanye blocked from entering another country by June 30?
10 shares @ 79.0¢·now 77.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$7.70
$-0.20
- YES
Will MrBeast say "Hundred" or "Thousand" or "Million" 10+ times during his next YouTube video?
10 shares @ 69.0¢·now 60.5¢·exp May 30, 2026$6.05
$-0.85
- YES
Will MrBeast say "Eliminate" or "Eliminated" during his next YouTube video?
10 shares @ 57.0¢·now 46.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$4.60
$-1.10
- NO
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?
10 shares @ 23.0¢·now 25.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$2.51
$0.21
- YES
Will "Scary Movie" score at least 50 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
10 shares @ 29.0¢·now 24.5¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$2.45
$-0.45
- YES
Will Kanye West and Bianca Censori separate in 2026?
10 shares @ 37.0¢·now 22.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.25
$-1.45
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast say "Eliminate" or "Eliminated" during his next YouTube video?$5.80May 28, 15:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast say "Hundred" or "Thousand" or "Million" 10+ times during his next YouTube video?$6.99May 28, 15:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Scary Movie" score at least 50 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?$3.00May 28, 15:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYKanye blocked from entering another country by June 30?$7.98May 28, 14:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?$2.39May 28, 14:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Project Hail Mary" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?$0.00Mar 29, 18:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kanye release BULLY by March 27?$10.00Mar 28, 22:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?$8.00Mar 18, 10:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kanye release BULLY by March 27?$5.30Mar 18, 10:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kanye West and Bianca Censori separate in 2026?$3.70Mar 18, 10:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Project Hail Mary" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?$4.00Mar 18, 10:13 UTC
- REDEEMBad Bunny wears a dress or skirt at the Big Game?$0.00Mar 18, 10:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill "One Battle After Another" win exactly 4 awards at the Oscars?$0.00Mar 18, 10:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$7.25Mar 16, 09:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sinners win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?$10.00Mar 16, 09:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Sinners" win exactly 5 awards at the Oscars?$2.41Mar 15, 23:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Apple release a new version of the Apple TV by March 31?$8.80Feb 26, 18:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Dune 3 or Avengers: Doomsday gross more on their opening weekend?$9.31Feb 26, 18:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill ChatGPT be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 30?$0.00Feb 1, 16:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Mercy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 14m?$0.00Jan 28, 16:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $4.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 23, 10:02 UTC
- Last active
- May 28, 15:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".