0x27385e576980f280b5b5aa7823d07d2ba660358a
0x27385e576980f280b5b5aa7823d07d2ba660358a
Wallet digest
Activity score
44/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
27
Open notional
$79.60
Total PnL
$-602.96
Realised
$-18.37
Win rate
13%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- YES
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?
81 shares @ 61.7¢·now 82.5¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$66.84
$16.84
- YES
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
769 shares @ 6.5¢·now 1.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$12.69
$-37.31
- YES
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?
123 shares @ 20.3¢·now 0.1¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$0.06
$-24.94
- YES
Will G2 win IEM Rio 2026?
833 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$0.00
$-10.04
- YES
Will Scottie Scheffler shoot the lowest round at the 2026 Masters?
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- VITALITY
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5)
364 shares @ 39.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$0.00
$-142.16
- YES
Will Wyndham Clark win the 2026 Masters tournament?
208 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $3.00 (HIGH) by April 30, 2026?
200 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.20
- BNK FEARX
Game Handicap: DK (-1.5) vs BNK FEARX (+1.5)
190 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-74.27
- UP
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 22, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET
147 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026$0.00
$-3.33
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 29, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 28, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 27, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 26, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 25, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 24, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 23, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 22, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 21, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 20, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 19, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 18, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 17, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 16, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 15, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 14, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 13, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 12, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 11, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 10, 00:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
22/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
13% win rate over 8 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
2 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 70/100.
8 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 2
- Avg trade size
- $13.84
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 00:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.