Strong-Prejudice
0x273f30f730ac216eec8bc3e70f379e916947769e
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$9.93
Total PnL
$-4.9K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?
5 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$5.00
$0.03
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
5 shares @ 97.6¢·now 98.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$4.92
$0.04
- UP
XRP Up or Down - January 20, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET
9876 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-4.9K
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
20 shares @ 16.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-3.32
- YES
Will FC Nantes win on 2025-11-02?
5 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 2, 2025$0.00
$-2.50
- YES
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?
5 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-0.35
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET
5 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?$4.88Jul 19, 17:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?$0.35Jun 4, 21:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?$4.97May 26, 08:34 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET$0.00Apr 23, 09:26 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET$5.00Apr 23, 09:26 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET$5.00Apr 23, 09:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET$2.00Apr 23, 09:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET$0.33Apr 23, 09:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET$2.00Apr 23, 09:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET$1.67Apr 23, 09:10 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET$5.00Apr 23, 09:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET$2.00Apr 23, 09:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET$2.00Apr 23, 09:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3.32Apr 23, 09:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET$2.00Apr 23, 09:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET$0.58Apr 23, 09:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET$0.80Apr 23, 09:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET$0.62Apr 23, 09:00 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET$0.55Apr 23, 08:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET$2.00Apr 23, 08:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
19 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 72/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 19
- Avg trade size
- $263.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 30, 14:48 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 19, 17:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.