Emotional-Battery
0x2753b92b3528856ed04702547a42e62658576bc7
Wallet digest
Activity score
84/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
62
Open notional
$2.1K
Total PnL
$-1.1K
Realised
$141.39
Win rate
73%
15 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 62- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?
756 shares @ 47.8¢·now 39.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$294.27
$-66.59
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?
2311 shares @ 19.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$265.79
$-174.31
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
790 shares @ 13.2¢·now 28.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$220.87
$116.24
- NO
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?
256 shares @ 50.8¢·now 80.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$205.04
$74.71
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?
2244 shares @ 14.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$168.28
$-145.37
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1064 shares @ 7.5¢·now 14.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$148.47
$68.68
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?
160 shares @ 51.3¢·now 79.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$127.52
$45.23
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?
215 shares @ 39.0¢·now 43.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$93.69
$9.76
- NO
Opensea FDV above $300M one day after launch?
110 shares @ 28.0¢·now 82.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$90.20
$59.40
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?
418 shares @ 31.3¢·now 21.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$89.96
$-40.86
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.15Jul 23, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.15Jul 22, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.15Jul 21, 20:07 UTC
- YIELD$0.15Jul 21, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.16Jul 19, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.16Jul 18, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?$0.41Jul 17, 22:02 UTC
- YIELD$0.15Jul 17, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?$0.19Jul 16, 13:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?$0.08Jul 16, 10:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?$6.33Jul 16, 04:46 UTC
- YIELD$0.16Jul 16, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?$13.00Jul 15, 14:07 UTC
- YIELD$0.17Jul 15, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,250 by December 31, 2026?$15.00Jul 14, 17:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?$29.05Jul 14, 15:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?$4.41Jul 14, 14:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?$29.69Jul 14, 14:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,250 by December 31, 2026?$16.25Jul 14, 14:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?$12.24Jul 14, 14:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
40/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
73% win rate over 15 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
26 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 42/100.
15 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $12.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 30, 00:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 23, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 15 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.