Defenseless-Placement
0x275cfee6b4d1da10cb6ea5b63107589e07d86090
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
153
Open notional
$23.3K
Total PnL
$629.51
Realised
$104.71
Win rate
100%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 153- NO
Trump out as President before 2027?
669 shares @ 84.0¢·now 90.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$602.14
$40.14
- NO
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
634 shares @ 84.0¢·now 93.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$595.01
$62.45
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
598 shares @ 90.0¢·now 93.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$559.88
$21.79
- NO
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
604 shares @ 93.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$558.98
$-3.02
- NO
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%?
687 shares @ 81.5¢·now 79.1¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$543.50
$-16.50
- NO
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?
571 shares @ 90.2¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$528.19
$13.19
- YES
Will Jeff Hurd be the Republican nominee for CO-03?
525 shares @ 97.5¢·now 97.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$513.17
$1.17
- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
474 shares @ 82.0¢·now 97.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$463.24
$74.24
- NO
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?
542 shares @ 77.5¢·now 75.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$406.39
$-13.61
- NO
Iran leadership change by June 30?
383 shares @ 81.0¢·now 97.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$372.96
$62.96
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.15Jun 14, 00:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill JD Vance attend the G7 Summit?$44.46Jun 13, 23:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?$69.00Jun 13, 19:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?$124.58Jun 13, 17:20 UTC
- TRADESELLGreece x Turkey military engagement by June 30?$176.08Jun 13, 16:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026?$123.60Jun 13, 09:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?$67.00Jun 13, 08:30 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?$190.12Jun 13, 08:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$60.20Jun 13, 05:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?$26.00Jun 13, 02:31 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?$93.58Jun 13, 00:36 UTC
- YIELD$0.15Jun 13, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?$198.00Jun 12, 21:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$175.00Jun 12, 21:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$232.00Jun 12, 21:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$610.32Jun 12, 21:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill JD Vance attend the G7 Summit?$43.00Jun 12, 11:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?$122.00Jun 12, 11:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2026?$158.79Jun 12, 11:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gustavo Petro be charged in the US by June 30?$20.03Jun 12, 03:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $130.95
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 8, 23:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.