0x2790285c8f0c8e15963d282e50b408fcba348916
0x2790285c8f0c8e15963d282e50b408fcba348916
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
33
Open notional
$80.96
Total PnL
$-32.99
Realised
$-1.47
Win rate
46%
13 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 33- NO
Iran leadership change by December 31?
12 shares @ 68.0¢·now 79.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.43
$1.36
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?
10 shares @ 49.0¢·now 59.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$5.76
$1.02
- NO
Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?
6 shares @ 81.0¢·now 89.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.38
$0.48
- NO
Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?
5 shares @ 97.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$5.01
$0.11
- NO
Will Chris Carr win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?
5 shares @ 99.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$4.99
$0.04
- NO
Will Pierre-Yves Bournazel win the Paris mayor election?
5 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$4.95
$0.00
- NO
Will Sophia Chikirou win the Paris mayor election?
5 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$4.95
$0.00
- NO
Will Thierry Mariani win the Paris mayor election?
5 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$4.95
$0.00
- NO
US recession by end of 2026?
6 shares @ 66.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Jan 31, 2027$4.94
$0.99
- NO
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
5 shares @ 94.0¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.89
$0.28
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?$1.21Jun 5, 12:42 UTC
- REDEEMUS escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?$1.54May 7, 15:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.40 in April?$1.25May 7, 15:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump visit North Korea by April 30?$0.00May 7, 15:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump visit North Korea by April 30?$0.00May 7, 15:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump visit North Korea by April 30?$1.52May 7, 15:32 UTC
- REDEEMMap Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Spirit (+1.5)$4.24May 7, 15:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?$2.98May 7, 15:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump visit China by April 30?$1.55May 7, 15:31 UTC
- TRADESELLIran leadership change by December 31?$0.10Apr 21, 22:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?$0.01Apr 21, 22:31 UTC
- TRADESELLUS escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?$0.01Apr 21, 12:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?$0.00Apr 21, 02:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?$0.05Apr 21, 01:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81$0.08Apr 20, 14:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81$0.01Apr 20, 13:47 UTC
- TRADESELLUS escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?$0.01Apr 19, 19:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Team Falcons vs FURIA - Map 1 Winner$1.96Apr 19, 10:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?$0.00Apr 19, 10:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?$1.97Apr 19, 10:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $0.51
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 15, 12:35 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 5, 12:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 13 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.