Dearest-Greatgrandfather
0x27bf113ed842aa41a9e1f203131f39f89596319b
Wallet digest
Activity score
77/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
118
Open notional
$169.28
Total PnL
$-746.72
Realised
$-12.43
Win rate
62%
34 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 118- YES
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
89 shares @ 55.5¢·now 57.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$50.98
$1.79
- NO
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
47 shares @ 63.5¢·now 65.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$30.94
$0.94
- YES
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 30 to August 1, 2026?
145 shares @ 19.4¢·now 21.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$30.35
$2.35
- YES
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
61 shares @ 40.8¢·now 45.9¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$28.12
$3.12
- NO
Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in July?
17 shares @ 60.0¢·now 64.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$10.67
$0.67
- YES
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?
63 shares @ 8.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.31
$0.31
- YES
Will New People (NL) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
38 shares @ 13.0¢·now 12.0¢·exp Sep 20, 2026$4.62
$-0.38
- YES
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
76 shares @ 6.6¢·now 5.7¢·exp Sep 20, 2026$4.32
$-0.68
- NO
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
18 shares @ 27.2¢·now 21.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.86
$-1.14
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?
2 shares @ 47.7¢·now 5.7¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$0.12
$-0.88
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 30 to August 1, 2026?$8.31Jul 29, 07:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 27 to July 29, 2026?$6.66Jul 29, 06:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 27 to July 29, 2026?$5.16Jul 28, 22:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 27 to July 29, 2026?$3.10Jul 28, 20:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 30 to August 1, 2026?$20.82Jul 28, 20:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 27 to July 29, 2026?$3.11Jul 28, 20:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?$0.00Jul 28, 20:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $85,000 by December 31, 2026?$4.33Jul 28, 20:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 27 to July 29, 2026?$59.50Jul 28, 20:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?$7.08Jul 28, 13:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 27 to July 29, 2026?$5.15Jul 27, 19:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$5.61Jul 27, 19:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 27 to July 29, 2026?$41.10Jul 27, 17:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?$34.44Jul 27, 17:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?$30.19Jul 27, 13:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?$9.97Jul 27, 07:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?$10.33Jul 27, 07:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?$22.92Jul 27, 07:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?$4.47Jul 27, 07:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$6.60Jul 27, 06:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
57/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
62% win rate over 34 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 36/100.
34 closed markets, 62% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $9.71
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 20, 13:42 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 07:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 34 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.