Fluffy-Tonight
0x2800d796fcb234a2b0d6aaa1f74bace5bad2c9d2
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
89
Open notional
$209.70
Total PnL
$-1.4K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 89- NO
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
40 shares @ 91.3¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$36.98
$0.46
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
20 shares @ 68.0¢·now 95.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$19.07
$5.47
- YES
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?
20 shares @ 77.1¢·now 88.8¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$17.75
$2.33
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
20 shares @ 83.9¢·now 88.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$17.69
$0.91
- YES
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?
20 shares @ 70.0¢·now 76.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$15.30
$1.30
- YES
Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?
20 shares @ 83.0¢·now 73.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$14.61
$-1.99
- YES
GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?
20 shares @ 76.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$10.10
$-5.10
- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
10 shares @ 92.0¢·now 98.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$9.81
$0.61
- YES
Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of June 2026?
10 shares @ 75.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$8.95
$1.45
- YES
Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?
10 shares @ 83.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$8.95
$0.65
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Park Soo-hyun win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?$20.00Jun 6, 13:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Chun Jae-soo win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?$20.00Jun 6, 13:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Choo Kyung-ho win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?$20.00Jun 6, 13:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump publicly insult Barack Obama by June 30, 2026?$20.00Jun 6, 13:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?$8.50Jun 6, 02:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the #3 AI model at the end of June 2026 (Style Control On)?$8.30Jun 6, 02:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?$16.60Jun 4, 16:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?$7.10Jun 4, 03:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYGRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?$15.20Jun 3, 18:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYExtended FDV above $150M one day after launch?$14.00Jun 3, 15:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$16.78Jun 3, 13:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Park Soo-hyun win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?$14.78Jun 3, 00:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?$8.30Jun 2, 23:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chun Jae-soo win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?$16.80Jun 2, 22:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$8.60Jun 2, 21:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Choo Kyung-ho win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?$8.60Jun 2, 21:32 UTC
- TRADEBUY Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$7.80Jun 2, 21:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Park Soo-hyun win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?$3.24Jun 2, 21:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of June 2026?$7.50Jun 2, 19:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult Barack Obama by June 30, 2026?$18.20Jun 2, 19:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $9.61
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 28, 04:57 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 6, 13:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.