Linear-Leaver
0x2811fa36ab944e265c3f5963e00914170b8f6818
Wallet digest
Activity score
97/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
108
Open notional
$3.9K
Total PnL
$-2.73
Realised
$8.06
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 108- YES
Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?
1157 shares @ 87.7¢·now 91.5¢·exp Sep 13, 2026$1.1K
$43.64
- NO
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
354 shares @ 92.1¢·now 92.5¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$327.17
$1.54
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
219 shares @ 83.5¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$197.89
$15.20
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?
105 shares @ 95.0¢·now 95.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$100.21
$0.21
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?
55 shares @ 91.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$51.93
$1.92
- NO
Starmer out by June 15, 2026?
42 shares @ 94.5¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$42.27
$2.27
- NO
Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by June 30?
44 shares @ 91.1¢·now 95.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$41.73
$1.73
- NO
Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30?
42 shares @ 95.9¢·now 98.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$41.07
$1.07
- NO
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
41 shares @ 98.2¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$40.61
$0.61
- NO
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
46 shares @ 86.5¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$40.47
$0.47
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-06-22?$20.07Jun 14, 18:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win on 2026-06-21?$20.06Jun 14, 18:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win on 2026-06-15?$20.06Jun 14, 16:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win on 2026-06-14?$30.05Jun 14, 16:33 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 14, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$20.00Jun 13, 09:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$20.03Jun 13, 09:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?$20.06Jun 13, 09:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$20.00Jun 13, 09:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?$20.00Jun 13, 09:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China blockade Taiwan by in 2026?$10.00Jun 13, 09:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$20.00Jun 13, 09:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?$10.02Jun 13, 09:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President before 2027?$20.00Jun 13, 09:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?$10.00Jun 13, 09:25 UTC
- REDEEMTrump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12?$21.33Jun 13, 06:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?$10.75Jun 12, 16:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$30.00Jun 12, 08:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump pardon SBF by July 31?$20.04Jun 12, 08:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the July 2026 meeting?$20.19Jun 12, 08:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $21.98
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 6, 08:32 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 18:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.