Jolly-Ignorance
0x2827f855d67698abb6ee6802f99261cdd0027f45
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$16.81
Total PnL
$-1.19
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on May 15?
15 shares @ 96.1¢·now 94.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$13.69
$-0.31
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
11 shares @ 17.4¢·now 16.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.91
$-0.09
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
4 shares @ 24.2¢·now 24.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.99
$-0.01
- YES
Will France win Eurovision 2026?
8 shares @ 12.0¢·now 2.5¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.21
$-0.79
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on May 15?$14.03May 13, 10:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Plaid Cymru win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?$1.09May 10, 15:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$2.31May 10, 15:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on May 8?$6.12May 10, 15:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?$4.42May 10, 15:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Plaid Cymru win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?$1.00May 7, 20:06 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET$1.67May 7, 17:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET$1.03May 7, 17:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bill Gates be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?$0.17May 7, 17:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on May 8?$6.01May 7, 17:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 24?$6.36May 7, 17:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 24?$6.00Apr 22, 18:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.93Apr 22, 18:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 15, 2026?$1.08Apr 22, 09:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on April 17?$4.29Apr 22, 09:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on April 17?$4.00Apr 15, 17:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 15, 2026?$1.00Apr 15, 14:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$2.90Apr 13, 07:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March?$0.00Apr 8, 07:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on April 7?$2.15Apr 8, 07:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $2.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 14, 07:34 UTC
- Last active
- May 13, 10:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".