0x28c51c6c3792502cc23722fbbc48034e1dfc97e6
0x28c51c6c3792502cc23722fbbc48034e1dfc97e6
Wallet digest
Activity score
86/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$3.94
Total PnL
$1.44
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Trump say "Hottest" during Michigan remarks?
3 shares @ 0.0¢·now 78.0¢·exp Jul 27, 2026$2.17
$2.17
- NO
Will Trump say "Hell" 2+ times during tribute to Lindsey Graham?
2 shares @ 0.0¢·now 54.0¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$0.91
$0.91
- YES
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?
5 shares @ 48.0¢·now 16.5¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.86
$-1.64
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Transgender" during White House Correspondents Dinner?$1.82Jul 25, 08:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Shots fired" or "Shots will be fired" during White House Correspondents Dinner?$3.04Jul 25, 08:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Iran" 3+ times during White House Correspondents Dinner?$0.00Jul 25, 04:20 UTC
- REDEEMEngland-Mexico game rescheduled to different time?$0.00Jul 6, 08:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Fake News" during Tribute to America Rally?$0.00Jul 5, 14:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Benjamin" or "Franklin" during Tribute to America Rally?$4.85Jul 5, 14:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "World War" during Tribute to America Rally?$0.00Jul 5, 14:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Epic Fury" during Tribute to America Rally?$0.00Jul 5, 14:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?$6.79Jul 4, 13:34 UTC
- REDEEMTrump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?$0.00Jul 4, 13:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spencer Pratt concede by July 2?$0.00Jul 3, 20:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump praise Delcy Rodriguez by June 30?$0.00Jul 2, 12:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump praise Lionel Messi by June 30?$0.00Jul 2, 12:56 UTC
- REDEEMFDA approves Unicycive's Oxylanthanum carbonate?$5.61Jul 1, 08:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump publicly insult Jimmy Kimmel by June 30, 2026?$0.00Jul 1, 08:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Micron Q3 NAND revenue be above $7.5B?$0.00Jun 25, 08:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Dumocrat" or "Dumbocrat" or "Dumacrat" during June 24 Rally?$6.13Jun 25, 08:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Reform" be in the headlines this week?$0.00Jun 22, 11:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump dance during UFC Freedom 250?$4.90Jun 19, 11:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Warsh say "Downside" during June Press Conference?$0.00Jun 18, 08:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
12 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 58/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 12
- Avg trade size
- $2.02
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 25, 08:57 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 25, 08:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.