Worldly-Tilt-Bike
0x28e2324f59cf2c70e09c7d5c77d7327d99e74d8b
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
40
Open notional
$76.69
Total PnL
$-158.04
Realised
$-4.74
Win rate
0%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 40- YES
Will Argentina's monthly inflation in August 2026 be between 1.8% and 2.0%?
16 shares @ 48.7¢·now 55.8¢·exp Sep 10, 2026$9.15
$1.15
- YES
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
26 shares @ 27.3¢·now 28.7¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$7.37
$0.37
- YES
Will Argentina's monthly inflation in August 2026 be between 2.1% and 2.3%?
56 shares @ 10.8¢·now 10.3¢·exp Sep 10, 2026$5.75
$-0.25
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
7 shares @ 75.0¢·now 73.5¢·exp Sep 16, 2026$4.90
$-0.10
- NO
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?
13 shares @ 39.0¢·now 37.5¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$4.81
$-0.19
- NO
Will PayPal be acquired before 2027?
9 shares @ 53.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.67
$-0.33
- NO
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
14 shares @ 37.0¢·now 33.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$4.53
$-0.47
- YES
Will Jared Moskowitz win the FL-25 Democratic primary by at least 25%?
13 shares @ 47.0¢·now 29.5¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$3.77
$-2.23
- NO
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?
5 shares @ 57.0¢·now 57.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$3.03
$0.03
- YES
US strike on Mexico by December 31?
21 shares @ 14.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.89
$-0.11
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET$0.00Aug 16, 11:41 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET$15.09Aug 16, 11:41 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET$2.70Aug 16, 11:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET$8.26Aug 16, 11:35 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET$7.41Aug 16, 11:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET$1.04Aug 16, 11:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET$8.22Aug 16, 11:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET$1.03Aug 16, 11:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET$1.03Aug 16, 11:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET$1.03Aug 16, 11:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET$1.03Aug 16, 11:26 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET$0.00Aug 16, 11:21 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET$0.00Aug 16, 11:21 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET$0.00Aug 16, 11:21 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET$0.00Aug 16, 11:21 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET$0.00Aug 16, 11:21 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET$0.00Aug 16, 11:21 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET$72.38Aug 16, 11:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET$16.08Aug 16, 11:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET$16.47Aug 16, 11:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
34/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 10 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
32 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 42/100.
10 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $13.83
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 16, 05:51 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 16, 11:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.