Sore-Kitsch
0x29285144e1c39fdbffc402882fcec68e4e96b217
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
82
Open notional
$5.64
Total PnL
$-924.49
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 82- NO
Will Rodina win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
2 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.9¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$1.74
$0.00
- NO
Will Solana dip to $30 in July?
2 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$1.50
$0.00
- NO
Will Oliver Bearman be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
1 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$1.20
$0.00
- NO
Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$1.20
$0.00
- YES
Will Michael Bloomberg win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
13000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-13.00
- YES
Will Rudy Giuliani win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
8675 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-8.68
- YES
Will the price of XRP be above $2.91 on September 5 at 4PM ET?
4000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 5, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Taylor win Season 7 of Love Island USA?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- GRIZZLIES
Rockets vs. Grizzlies
150 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 6, 2025$0.00
$-38.99
- PELICANS
Pelicans vs. Thunder
143 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Solana dip to $30 in July?$1.50Jul 21, 23:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?$1.02Jul 1, 06:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?$1.22Jun 30, 18:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $52,000 on June 30?$1.00Jun 30, 16:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $52,000 on June 30?$1.00Jun 28, 21:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?$1.30Jun 27, 18:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?$1.22Jun 26, 21:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?$1.30Jun 25, 21:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?$1.20Jun 19, 23:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?$1.03Jun 17, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?$1.03Jun 16, 15:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Progressive Party (PP) win the 2026 South Korean local elections?$1.50Jun 4, 04:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mary Fitzpatrick win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?$1.22May 24, 02:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rodina win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$1.74May 23, 11:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Progressive Party (PP) win the 2026 South Korean local elections?$1.50May 22, 23:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mary Fitzpatrick win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?$1.22May 21, 21:46 UTC
- REDEEMTrump out as President by April 30?$12.01May 1, 13:57 UTC
- REDEEMNetanyahu out by April 30?$3.20May 1, 07:30 UTC
- REDEEMUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?$1.78May 1, 07:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump visit Pakistan by April 30?$1.23May 1, 07:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
30 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 52/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $2.34
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 15, 02:01 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 23:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.