Creative-Grouse
0x295d3741e48343bb71598fbadfcbd6149e34a350
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
48
Open notional
$10.25
Total PnL
$-86.75
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 48- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
556 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.28
$0.28
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
20 shares @ 5.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$1.10
$0.10
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
10 shares @ 10.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.95
$-0.05
- YES
New pandemic in 2026?
8 shares @ 12.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.87
$-0.13
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
6 shares @ 18.0¢·now 14.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.80
$-0.20
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
3 shares @ 36.0¢·now 23.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.65
$-0.35
- YES
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
3 shares @ 39.0¢·now 23.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.60
$-0.40
- YES
New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2025?
1230 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-11.00
- YES
New pandemic in 2025?
667 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
CDC issues Level 4 warning by December 31?
614 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-6.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be between $200 and $250?$5.16Jun 12, 06:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$1.04Jun 12, 06:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?$1.04Jun 12, 06:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?$5.20Jun 12, 06:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?$5.16Jun 12, 06:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $3.0T and $3.5T at market close on IPO day?$5.18Jun 12, 06:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET$5.17Jun 12, 06:42 UTC
- REDEEMU.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?$2.33Jan 1, 02:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump talk to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in December?$2.44Jan 1, 02:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Powell say "Unchanged" during December press conference?$3.23Jan 1, 02:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Time 2025 Person of the Year be leaked?$4.55Jan 1, 02:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump Platinum Card applications open by December 31?$1.00Dec 12, 05:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump sell over 100k Gold Cards in 2025?$1.00Dec 12, 05:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?$1.00Dec 12, 05:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$1.00Dec 12, 05:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYCDC issues Level 3 warning by December 31?$10.00Dec 12, 05:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYCDC issues Level 4 warning by December 31?$6.00Dec 12, 05:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew pandemic in 2026?$1.00Dec 12, 05:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew pandemic in 2025?$5.00Dec 12, 05:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew Coronavirus Pandemic in 2025?$10.00Dec 12, 05:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $2.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 10, 14:44 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 12, 06:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.