Vivid-Porcupine
0x297120e780f814c59272e2c2740350dab3ebb901
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
47
Open notional
$472.06
Total PnL
$-1.4K
Realised
$-148.59
Win rate
40%
20 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 47- SPACEX
Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?
286 shares @ 83.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$286.00
$48.62
- YES
Anthropic IPO before 2027?
131 shares @ 52.0¢·now 83.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$108.73
$40.61
- YES
Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
411 shares @ 12.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$63.70
$14.38
- YES
Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch?
26 shares @ 18.0¢·now 25.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$6.63
$1.95
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
4 shares @ 42.0¢·now 96.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.87
$2.19
- YES
Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?
5 shares @ 5.2¢·now 39.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.00
$1.74
- NO
Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?
2 shares @ 30.3¢·now 27.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.54
$-0.07
- NO
Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?
3 shares @ 23.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.47
$-0.23
- YES
Will Tempo launch a token by September 30, 2026?
1 shares @ 71.0¢·now 11.2¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.11
$-0.60
- YES
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
2 shares @ 6.1¢·now 0.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.01
$-0.11
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill 8–9 ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?$226.72Apr 27, 09:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$49.32Apr 24, 04:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnthropic IPO before 2027?$68.12Apr 23, 10:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 8–9 ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?$610.90Apr 23, 08:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?$22.41Apr 11, 19:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?$60.59Apr 11, 19:21 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026?$19.17Apr 11, 07:25 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026?$1.2KApr 11, 07:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?$36.18Apr 11, 06:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?$60.59Apr 11, 03:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?$58.59Apr 11, 02:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026?$1.3KApr 11, 00:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 70m and 80m?$135.24Apr 9, 23:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 70m and 80m?$301.14Apr 9, 23:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 70m and 80m?$733.74Apr 9, 23:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Polymarket mindshare hit 85% by June 30?$200.20Apr 9, 09:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Polymarket mindshare hit 85% by June 30?$203.28Apr 8, 09:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 70m and 80m?$1.4KApr 8, 03:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on March 25, 2026?$502.00Apr 7, 11:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?$2.80Mar 31, 08:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $318.47
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 22, 07:03 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 27, 09:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 20 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.