Bold-Boon
0x29aab7e400830b0d7bebe15560c6fb6e99e9dd84
Wallet digest
Activity score
81/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
29
Open notional
$114.90
Total PnL
$-22.49
Realised
$-0.34
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- NO
Will there be no next Transport Secretary of the UK in 2026?
15 shares @ 32.0¢·now 64.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.63
$4.83
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?
8 shares @ 59.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Jul 17, 2026$6.93
$1.97
- NO
Will Solana dip to $70 in July?
10 shares @ 52.0¢·now 55.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$5.28
$0.29
- YES
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?
7 shares @ 72.0¢·now 75.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$5.21
$0.21
- YES
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
7 shares @ 70.0¢·now 73.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.18
$0.21
- NO
Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 in July?
7 shares @ 68.0¢·now 70.5¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$5.14
$0.18
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on July 20?
6 shares @ 82.0¢·now 83.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$5.03
$0.06
- NO
Will Rafael Grossi be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?
11 shares @ 48.0¢·now 47.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.00
$-0.05
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 20?
6 shares @ 88.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$5.00
$-0.03
- NO
Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?
7 shares @ 72.0¢·now 70.0¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$4.89
$-0.14
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?$5.03Jul 16, 16:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on July 20?$0.41Jul 16, 16:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 20?$2.36Jul 16, 16:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?$5.41Jul 16, 15:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 20?$1.00Jul 16, 14:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?$5.37Jul 16, 14:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 The Open Championship?$5.34Jul 16, 14:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 20?$1.00Jul 16, 14:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 20?$1.00Jul 16, 14:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $66,000 July 13-19?$4.30Jul 16, 14:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 21?$5.22Jul 16, 14:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?$5.00Jul 16, 13:44 UTC
- TRADESELLKitzbuehel: Marina Bassols Ribera vs Arantxa Rus$3.81Jul 16, 13:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYKitzbuehel: Marina Bassols Ribera vs Arantxa Rus$4.94Jul 16, 12:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,700 in July?$4.96Jul 16, 12:41 UTC
- TRADESELLCordenons: Sumit Nagal vs Juan Bautista Torres$4.19Jul 16, 12:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYCordenons: Sumit Nagal vs Juan Bautista Torres$4.80Jul 16, 12:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYCordenons: Sumit Nagal vs Juan Bautista Torres$0.16Jul 16, 12:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?$5.00Jul 16, 12:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?$5.49Jul 16, 12:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
26/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
67% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 48/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $3.85
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 16, 07:33 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 16, 16:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.