0x29e62540a3a0f4f8d6c95f85fbe8ab57f1fa93b1
0x29e62540a3a0f4f8d6c95f85fbe8ab57f1fa93b1
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$10.65
Total PnL
$-10.35
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
3 shares @ 65.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.05
$1.05
- YES
Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1 shares @ 75.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$1.33
$0.33
- NO
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?
1 shares @ 79.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.27
$0.27
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 28?
1 shares @ 82.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$1.22
$0.22
- NO
Will Perena launch a token by March 31, 2026?
1 shares @ 85.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.18
$0.18
- NO
StandX FDV above $2B one day after launch?
1 shares @ 88.0¢·now 92.7¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.05
$0.05
- NO
Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch?
1 shares @ 94.0¢·now 95.3¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.01
$0.01
- YES
Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026
1 shares @ 69.0¢·now 16.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.24
$-0.76
- YES
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?
1 shares @ 88.9¢·now 15.8¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.18
$-0.82
- YES
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?
1 shares @ 70.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.12
$-0.88
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.00Apr 22, 15:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$1.00Apr 11, 15:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$1.00Mar 29, 01:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYEdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?$1.00Mar 21, 03:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Perena launch a token by March 31, 2026?$1.00Feb 21, 01:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpensea FDV above $3B one day after launch?$1.00Feb 14, 13:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026$1.00Jan 25, 23:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 28?$1.00Jan 22, 15:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on January 7?$1.05Jan 18, 03:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 24?$1.00Jan 18, 03:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?$1.00Jan 14, 15:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYStandX FDV above $2B one day after launch?$1.00Jan 8, 15:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?$1.00Jan 6, 14:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on December 16?$1.05Jan 6, 14:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on December 20?$1.09Jan 6, 14:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill MetaMask launch a token in 2025?$1.19Jan 6, 14:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on January 2?$1.20Jan 6, 14:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on January 7?$1.00Jan 1, 03:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on January 2?$1.00Dec 27, 09:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on December 25?$1.04Dec 20, 01:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
36 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 50/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $1.03
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 26, 15:11 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 22, 15:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.