Flat-Badger
0x2a019dc0089ea8c6edbbafc8a7cc9ba77b4b6397
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
84
Open notional
$174.8K
Total PnL
$12.6K
Realised
$7.7K
Win rate
100%
26 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 84- YES
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
23594 shares @ 93.6¢·now 98.3¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$23.2K
$1.1K
- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
20960 shares @ 94.4¢·now 97.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$20.5K
$732.14
- NO
Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?
17185 shares @ 96.8¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$17.1K
$483.05
- NO
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
14983 shares @ 95.0¢·now 98.8¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$14.8K
$572.63
- NO
Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
12500 shares @ 97.5¢·now 98.4¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$12.3K
$111.77
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
9777 shares @ 97.0¢·now 99.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$9.7K
$198.96
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
7725 shares @ 82.9¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.0K
$583.37
- NO
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
5749 shares @ 91.5¢·now 96.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.5K
$261.71
- NO
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
4000 shares @ 99.2¢·now 99.7¢·exp May 29, 2026$4.0K
$16.50
- NO
Will Hunter Biden announce a Delaware Senate run by July 14?
4003 shares @ 96.5¢·now 98.4¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$3.9K
$73.48
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?$975.00Jun 13, 21:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?$975.00Jun 13, 21:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?$1.8KJun 13, 19:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill any other model be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?$102.89Jun 13, 19:00 UTC
- TRADESELLKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?$940.00Jun 13, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$1.5KJun 13, 16:26 UTC
- TRADESELLUkraine election held by June 30, 2026?$0.00Jun 13, 15:24 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?$4.0KJun 13, 15:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Backrooms" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 10m?$146.37Jun 13, 15:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?$185.70Jun 13, 14:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?$539.96Jun 13, 13:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYGPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?$964.00Jun 13, 13:33 UTC
- TRADESELLKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$4.9KJun 13, 13:23 UTC
- TRADESELLUkraine election held by June 30, 2026?$0.00Jun 13, 13:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$484.11Jun 13, 12:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?$133.87Jun 13, 12:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?$940.00Jun 13, 11:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?$396.79Jun 13, 11:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?$975.00Jun 13, 11:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$498.21Jun 13, 11:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentLedger volume
$37.3K
Trades
3
Buy share
33%
Window
May 31, 08:10 UTC → Jun 10, 04:03 UTC
- BUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9?$7.0K@100¢Jun 10, 04:03 UTC
- BUYWill Faye die in Euphoria: Season 3?$5.2K@100¢Jun 1, 03:05 UTC
- SELLKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$25.1K@100¢May 31, 08:05 UTC
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$7.0K
1 trades
30d volume
$37.3K
3 trades
Buy share
33%
Sample
limited
3 ledger trades
Top market concentration
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
$25.1K · 67% of recorded whale volume
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $681.45
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 06:08 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 21:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 26 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.