0x2a9943a4bb7852e023f673a3bc2bafcbcd227059
0x2a9943a4bb7852e023f673a3bc2bafcbcd227059
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
91
Open notional
$801.19
Total PnL
$-371.91
Realised
$-3.06
Win rate
60%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 91- NO
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
500 shares @ 50.0¢·now 80.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$399.75
$149.75
- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
500 shares @ 50.0¢·now 20.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$100.25
$-149.75
- NO
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
50 shares @ 84.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$43.75
$1.75
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
40 shares @ 86.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$37.80
$3.40
- NO
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?
40 shares @ 82.2¢·now 92.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$36.81
$3.92
- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
30 shares @ 82.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$25.65
$1.05
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
30 shares @ 67.0¢·now 72.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$21.75
$1.65
- NO
Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
20 shares @ 70.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$17.70
$3.70
- YES
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
30 shares @ 70.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$17.55
$-3.45
- NO
Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
20 shares @ 48.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$17.10
$7.50
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.05Jul 30, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 29, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 28, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 27, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 26, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 25, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 24, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 23, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 22, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 21, 20:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 21, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 19, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 18, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 17, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 16, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 15, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 14, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 13, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 12, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 11, 00:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
23/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
60% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 17, 00:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 30, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.