Mad-Pathology
0x2ab9f8df1e77c04279aeb8e73602fd24575bfd27
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
100
Open notional
$1.15
Total PnL
$-1.6K
Realised
$-24.80
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 100- YES
Will Umaro Sissoco Embaló win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?
40 shares @ 85.9¢·now 2.9¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$1.15
$-33.49
- YES
Will Bruce Harrell win the 2025 Seattle mayoral election?
593 shares @ 30.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-180.94
- YES
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?
303 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Spain win Miss Universe 2025?
256 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
North Korea missile launch by November 15?
124 shares @ 80.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- NO
Will Airbnb (ABNB) finish week of November 10 above $115?
113 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 14, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $400 end of November?
106 shares @ 13.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 28, 2025$0.00
$-14.00
- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
88 shares @ 5.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
78 shares @ 67.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-52.60
- NO
Will Meta (META) finish week of November 10 above $590?
71 shares @ 8.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 14, 2025$0.00
$-6.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Dec 31, 00:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?$11.79Dec 30, 20:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin hit $80k or $100k first?$14.16Dec 30, 20:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?$19.10Dec 30, 20:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia announce a Christmas truce?$21.16Dec 30, 20:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Laura Virginia Fernández Delgado win the 2026 Costa Rican presidential election?$22.18Dec 30, 20:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by December 31?$23.61Dec 30, 20:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia enter Dobropillia by January 31?$23.03Dec 30, 20:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?$23.84Dec 30, 20:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Paul Thomas Anderson (One Battle After Another) win Best Director at the 83rd Golden Globes?$24.28Dec 30, 20:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$25.30Dec 30, 20:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Christian Menefee win TX-18 Special Election?$27.58Dec 30, 20:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill annual inflation increase by ≤2.8% in December?$30.35Dec 30, 20:44 UTC
- TRADESELLSupreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?$38.64Dec 30, 20:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill KPop Demon Hunters win Best Motion Picture – Animated at the 83rd Golden Globes?$39.40Dec 30, 20:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$40.46Dec 30, 20:44 UTC
- REDEEMBattle of the Sexes: Aryna Sabalenka vs Nick Kyrgios$45.76Dec 30, 20:44 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Dec 30, 00:02 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Dec 29, 00:06 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Dec 28, 00:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $26.05
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 22, 12:20 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 31, 00:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".