Wasteful-Inspection
0x2b58e19fa8014b671f9464d9c65cf10540c8c920
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
73
Open notional
$174.40
Total PnL
$-711.68
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 73- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
20 shares @ 84.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$20.00
$3.18
- YES
Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?
20 shares @ 83.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$20.00
$3.40
- YES
GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?
20 shares @ 76.0¢·now 87.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$17.40
$2.20
- YES
Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?
20 shares @ 87.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$16.50
$-0.90
- YES
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?
20 shares @ 76.0¢·now 81.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$16.30
$1.10
- YES
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?
20 shares @ 73.0¢·now 81.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$16.20
$1.60
- YES
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?
20 shares @ 69.0¢·now 78.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$15.70
$1.90
- YES
Will Predict.fun launch a token by March 31, 2027?
20 shares @ 64.0¢·now 61.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$12.30
$-0.50
- YES
Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of June 2026?
10 shares @ 75.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$10.00
$2.50
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
10 shares @ 83.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$10.00
$1.70
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Predict.fun launch a token by March 31, 2027?$12.80Jun 15, 19:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYVariational FDV above $300M one day after launch?$17.40Jun 12, 12:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYPredict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?$13.80Jun 11, 18:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYPredict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?$15.20Jun 11, 18:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYExtended FDV above $150M one day after launch?$14.60Jun 11, 17:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump speak to Reza Pahlavi in May?$20.00Jun 10, 17:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Polymarket mindshare hit 90% by June 30?$5.50Jun 9, 19:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Polymarket mindshare hit 90% by June 30?$3.40Jun 9, 19:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYGRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?$15.20Jun 3, 18:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?$8.80Jun 3, 15:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?$16.60Jun 3, 05:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$16.82Jun 2, 21:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of June 2026?$7.50Jun 2, 20:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the best Coding AI model at the end of May 2026?$10.00Jun 2, 20:16 UTC
- REDEEMUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$10.00Jun 2, 20:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?$10.00Jun 2, 20:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$10.00Jun 2, 20:16 UTC
- REDEEMIran leadership change by May 31?$10.00Jun 2, 20:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$20.00Jun 2, 20:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$20.00Jun 2, 20:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
26 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 52/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $14.49
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 4, 00:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 15, 19:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.