Keen-Wick
0x2b5e6068dfa5f3975e233d2a33a0fe457744f157
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$229.45
Total PnL
$-18.7K
Realised
$237.46
Win rate
72%
18 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
600 shares @ 36.0¢·now 27.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$165.00
$-51.00
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
1553 shares @ 8.5¢·now 4.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$64.45
$-67.56
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 12AM ET
1259 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 18, 2025$0.00
$-151.05
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7AM ET
1258 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$0.00
$-56.21
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 14, 7AM ET
1257 shares @ 14.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 14, 2025$0.00
$-179.92
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 8AM ET
1246 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 22, 2025$0.00
$-199.40
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3AM ET
1238 shares @ 14.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 20, 2025$0.00
$-177.51
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 28, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET
1222 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 28, 2025$0.00
$-15.26
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 30, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET
1209 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-55.93
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 5AM ET
1200 shares @ 4.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-56.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jul 21, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 19, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 18, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 17, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 16, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 15, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 14, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 13, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 12, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 11, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 10, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 9, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 8, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 7, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 6, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 5, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 4, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 3, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 2, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 1, 00:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
32/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
72% win rate over 18 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
5 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 62/100.
18 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 5
- Avg trade size
- $54.39
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 6, 00:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 18 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.