Embarrassed-Juggernaut
0x2b76c1d12cd928b1d95a6d2c7f1e6f6e7f14edef
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
12
Open notional
$41.9K
Total PnL
$-4.3K
Realised
$-1.4K
Win rate
25%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?
33594 shares @ 79.3¢·now 89.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$29.9K
$3.3K
- YES
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?
49868 shares @ 15.6¢·now 13.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.9K
$-842.62
- NO
Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
2191 shares @ 90.2¢·now 90.7¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$2.0K
$10.09
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
3339 shares @ 46.0¢·now 56.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.9K
$333.88
- NO
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
1500 shares @ 64.2¢·now 21.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$324.01
$-639.01
- YES
Kurds declare independence from Iran?
15276 shares @ 19.5¢·now 2.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$320.80
$-2.7K
- YES
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?
261 shares @ 68.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$220.33
$43.02
- YES
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
2500 shares @ 12.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$187.52
$-112.51
- YES
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
25045 shares @ 9.2¢·now 0.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$137.75
$-2.2K
- YES
Will Trump create a tariff dividend by June 30?
500 shares @ 19.4¢·now 2.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$13.25
$-83.94
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$1.4KJun 13, 10:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$28.65Jun 13, 05:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$5.11Jun 13, 02:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$10.45Jun 13, 01:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$2.30Jun 13, 01:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$4.14Jun 13, 01:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$9.20Jun 13, 01:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$0.00Jun 13, 01:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$2.30Jun 13, 01:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$0.00Jun 13, 01:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$5.06Jun 13, 00:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$11.04Jun 13, 00:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 19?$0.79Jun 13, 00:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$0.01Jun 13, 00:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$0.00Jun 13, 00:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$0.01Jun 13, 00:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$0.00Jun 13, 00:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?$21.25Jun 13, 00:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$0.00Jun 13, 00:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$0.00Jun 13, 00:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $78.13
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 8, 00:45 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 10:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.