Soupy-Incentive
0x2bc02353762a3a2b7f61a773780ae4ecb613fab9
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
12
Open notional
$999.84
Total PnL
$-211.06
Realised
$-57.21
Win rate
40%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Will FC Juárez win on 2026-02-22?
798 shares @ 61.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2026$798.00
$311.22
- NO
Will Tempo launch a token by September 30, 2026?
219 shares @ 27.0¢·now 91.3¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$199.84
$140.71
- NO
Will the Edmonton Oilers win the Pacific Division?
2 shares @ 79.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$2.00
$0.42
- OVER
Levante UD vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 1.5
632 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 14, 2025$0.00
$-164.32
- NO
Will Freecash - Get Paid Real Money be the #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 6?
523 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026$0.00
$-188.28
- YES
Will Wicked: For Good be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
290 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-107.30
- OVER
Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs vs. Charleston Southern Buccaneers: O/U 158.5
131 shares @ 51.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 2, 2026$0.00
$-67.73
- NO
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 25, 2026?
103 shares @ 56.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-57.68
- YES
Will Netanyahu visit NYC by March 31?
21 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-4.20
- NO
Trump invokes War Powers against Venezuela by January 31?
14 shares @ 61.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-8.54
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Drake officially release Iceman by April 30, 2026?$39.38Apr 21, 08:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Drake officially release Iceman by April 30, 2026?$43.56Apr 21, 08:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Drake officially release Iceman by April 30, 2026?$35.84Apr 21, 08:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Drake officially release Iceman by April 30, 2026?$37.40Apr 14, 01:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Drake officially release Iceman by April 30, 2026?$43.56Apr 14, 01:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Drake officially release Iceman by April 30, 2026?$39.38Apr 14, 01:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Austria come in last place at Eurovision 2026?$112.32Apr 11, 07:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Austria come in last place at Eurovision 2026?$8.10Apr 11, 07:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Juárez win on 2026-02-22?$486.78Apr 7, 10:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Starmer say "Nuclear" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?$228.96Mar 30, 16:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Starmer say "Nuclear" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?$71.28Mar 30, 16:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Apple release a new product line before 2027?$186.30Mar 30, 14:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple release a new product line before 2027?$186.30Mar 30, 10:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Austria come in last place at Eurovision 2026?$131.80Mar 30, 08:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Austria come in last place at Eurovision 2026?$2.00Mar 30, 08:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Starmer say "Nuclear" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?$300.24Mar 30, 07:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kirk Cousins play for Las Vegas Raiders in 2026-27?$146.16Mar 25, 18:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kirk Cousins play for Las Vegas Raiders in 2026-27?$474.76Mar 25, 18:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kirk Cousins play for Las Vegas Raiders in 2026-27?$611.72Mar 25, 03:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill T1 qualify to MSI 2026?$86.40Mar 24, 07:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $208.92
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 15, 06:09 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 21, 08:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.