Imaginary-Closet
0x2bcd792138a4e184f791b05d9c5c70e3c8f7cbfb
Wallet digest
Activity score
86/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$4.5K
Total PnL
$-13.0K
Realised
$211.94
Win rate
79%
14 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will Canada reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
904 shares @ 58.1¢·now 62.5¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$565.09
$40.09
- NO
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?
556 shares @ 90.6¢·now 93.5¢·exp Feb 28, 2027$519.78
$16.09
- NO
Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
603 shares @ 49.7¢·now 79.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$479.49
$179.49
- NO
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
327 shares @ 93.3¢·now 94.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$308.97
$3.97
- NO
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?
315 shares @ 70.3¢·now 85.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$268.96
$47.96
- NO
Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
284 shares @ 86.5¢·now 84.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$240.38
$-5.74
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June?
220 shares @ 79.5¢·now 93.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$204.73
$29.73
- KT ROLSTER
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI
194 shares @ 46.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$193.61
$103.61
- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
193 shares @ 68.0¢·now 98.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$189.65
$58.18
- NO
Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30?
182 shares @ 88.6¢·now 96.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$176.01
$14.37
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 31?$3.07Jun 13, 10:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Futuro Nazionale get more votes than Lega in the next Italian general elections?$1.02Jun 13, 10:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.14Jun 13, 08:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$16.19Jun 13, 08:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$15.14Jun 13, 08:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on June 14?$7.05Jun 13, 06:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on June 14?$6.04Jun 13, 06:46 UTC
- REDEEMUnited States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score$20.83Jun 13, 03:34 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 13, 00:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C on June 12?$16.83Jun 12, 22:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on June 12?$8.00Jun 12, 22:43 UTC
- REDEEMSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?$94.29Jun 12, 22:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?$18.59Jun 12, 19:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?$20.46Jun 12, 17:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?$6.15Jun 12, 17:30 UTC
- TRADESELLSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?$7.16Jun 12, 17:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?$102.74Jun 12, 16:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C on June 12?$15.08Jun 12, 15:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on June 13?$15.07Jun 12, 12:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on June 13?$35.18Jun 12, 12:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $13.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 11, 17:03 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 10:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 14 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.