0x2bcffd47b2c8f59675ae94295744bcb8a25a0710
0x2bcffd47b2c8f59675ae94295744bcb8a25a0710
Wallet digest
Activity score
94/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
32
Open notional
$1.5K
Total PnL
$-9.94
Realised
$11.53
Win rate
60%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 32- NO
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?
458 shares @ 97.0¢·now 95.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$437.87
$-6.24
- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
364 shares @ 83.7¢·now 81.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$296.68
$-7.86
- YES
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
186 shares @ 71.4¢·now 64.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$119.68
$-12.82
- NO
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
100 shares @ 98.0¢·now 97.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$97.74
$-0.25
- YES
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
214 shares @ 42.0¢·now 38.7¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$82.79
$-7.10
- NO
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?
85 shares @ 87.7¢·now 88.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$75.06
$0.23
- NO
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?
62 shares @ 90.4¢·now 99.4¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$61.60
$5.55
- NO
Iran leadership change by June 30?
61 shares @ 97.6¢·now 98.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$60.53
$0.56
- NO
Netanyahu out by June 30?
38 shares @ 96.2¢·now 99.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$37.85
$1.18
- NO
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?
37 shares @ 93.0¢·now 97.4¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$35.88
$1.62
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIsrael withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?$3.67Jun 17, 18:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill one person dissent the June Fed decision?$1.09Jun 17, 18:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill two people dissent the June Fed decision?$0.01Jun 17, 18:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill two people dissent the June Fed decision?$0.06Jun 17, 18:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?$24.00Jun 17, 17:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$3.44Jun 17, 17:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NYC Mayor post 180-199 posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026?$0.04Jun 17, 17:18 UTC
- TRADESELLPortugal leading at halftime?$1.66Jun 17, 17:18 UTC
- TRADESELLPortugal leading at halftime?$21.01Jun 17, 17:11 UTC
- TRADESELLPortugal leading at halftime?$1.02Jun 17, 17:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYPortugal leading at halftime?$15.01Jun 17, 17:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on June 17?$9.98Jun 17, 16:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?$2.41Jun 17, 16:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on June 17?$24.99Jun 17, 16:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?$24.17Jun 17, 16:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?$24.12Jun 17, 16:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16? $34.26Jun 17, 16:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$9.95Jun 17, 16:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$1.82Jun 17, 16:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 18?$0.03Jun 17, 16:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $15.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 17, 00:28 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 17, 18:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.