Torn-Bunch-Study
0x2bd208d1f7c22e3755ef5c09f76aa4d0e05b85ad
Wallet digest
Activity score
77/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$54.47
Total PnL
$-4.73
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
22 shares @ 84.5¢·now 85.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$18.61
$0.21
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
11 shares @ 92.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$10.16
$0.16
- YES
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by June 30?
10 shares @ 95.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$9.55
$0.05
- YES
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?
5 shares @ 96.0¢·now 97.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$4.85
$0.05
- YES
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?
3 shares @ 95.9¢·now 95.6¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$2.99
$-0.01
- YES
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by June 30?
2 shares @ 83.0¢·now 78.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$1.88
$-0.12
- YES
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?
2 shares @ 88.0¢·now 81.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.85
$-0.15
- NO
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
5 shares @ 50.0¢·now 30.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.50
$-1.00
- YES
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
2 shares @ 50.0¢·now 58.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.16
$0.16
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
1 shares @ 93.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.96
$-0.04
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by June 30?$9.50Jun 6, 06:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June?$1.61Jun 5, 17:46 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down on June 5?$5.75Jun 5, 14:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?$2.50Jun 5, 10:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$1.02Jun 5, 06:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYGPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?$4.80Jun 5, 05:49 UTC
- SPLITWill Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?$5.00Jun 5, 05:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?$20.33Jun 5, 03:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by June 30?$2.01Jun 5, 01:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?$1.00Jun 5, 01:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $64,000 on June 4?$1.25Jun 4, 18:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET$1.03Jun 4, 17:02 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET$1.06Jun 4, 17:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET$1.00Jun 4, 16:57 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET$1.02Jun 4, 16:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET$1.00Jun 4, 16:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google Gemini score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?$0.69Jun 4, 16:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June?$1.03Jun 4, 16:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?$2.00Jun 4, 16:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on June 5?$3.10Jun 4, 16:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $2.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 1, 07:46 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 6, 06:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".