Juvenile-Cube
0x2be79b953775bb3d30b8d5fd8eb55f3c6ce5cad9
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$93.83
Total PnL
$-185.05
Realised
$-0.08
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
27 shares @ 91.5¢·now 96.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$26.22
$1.22
- NO
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
21 shares @ 93.2¢·now 71.8¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$15.40
$-4.60
- NO
Will LI.FI launch a token by December 31, 2026?
13 shares @ 95.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$11.68
$-0.32
- NO
GRVT FDV above $600M one day after launch?
12 shares @ 91.0¢·now 88.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$10.64
$-0.36
- NO
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?
11 shares @ 91.0¢·now 92.0¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$10.11
$0.11
- NO
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
10 shares @ 98.3¢·now 98.2¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$9.98
$-0.02
- NO
Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?
10 shares @ 96.0¢·now 94.1¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$9.80
$-0.20
- YES
Will Ethereum hit $6,000.00 by March 31?
1239 shares @ 7.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2025$0.00
$-89.60
- YES
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?
131 shares @ 45.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-60.00
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
22 shares @ 94.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.40
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 22, 00:15 UTC
- REWARD$1.67Jul 22, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LI.FI launch a token by December 31, 2026?$12.04Jul 21, 06:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$10.00Jul 21, 06:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$10.01Jul 21, 06:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?$10.03Jul 21, 06:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?$10.03Jul 21, 06:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran invades Kuwait by August 31?$10.00Jul 21, 06:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYGRVT FDV above $600M one day after launch?$11.07Jul 21, 06:01 UTC
- TRADESELLExtended FDV above $800M one day after launch?$15.34Jul 21, 05:09 UTC
- TRADESELLPredict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?$12.63Jul 21, 05:09 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 21, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 20, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 19, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 18, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 17, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 16, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 15, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 14, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 13, 00:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
9 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 56/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 9
- Avg trade size
- $11.24
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 00:17 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.