Knobby-Neck
0x2bea939933588d44ebfc9e9d54e2935fcc4c5522
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
67
Open notional
$39.10
Total PnL
$-458.47
Realised
$-0.42
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 67- NO
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?
35 shares @ 62.1¢·now 61.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$21.35
$-0.40
- YES
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?
15 shares @ 70.0¢·now 76.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$11.47
$0.97
- YES
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
167 shares @ 7.2¢·now 3.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.28
$-5.80
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?
300 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-4.90
- NO
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m?
237 shares @ 18.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 22, 2025$0.00
$-44.01
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET
222 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET
209 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET
203 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-3.71
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - February 22, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET
200 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLBase FDV above $4B one day after launch?$17.14Jun 4, 03:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYVariational FDV above $800M one day after launch?$7.58May 31, 05:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYVariational FDV above $800M one day after launch?$1.56May 29, 15:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYVariational FDV above $800M one day after launch?$12.60May 21, 03:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?$20.90May 20, 14:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?$8.70May 15, 04:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?$10.04May 15, 02:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026?$10.64May 14, 20:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Ship" or "Chip" during events with Xi Jinping?$5.88May 14, 13:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?$3.05May 14, 09:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$3.05May 14, 09:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Ship" or "Chip" during events with Xi Jinping?$3.06May 14, 09:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026?$10.02May 14, 09:49 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$9.93May 14, 09:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$10.08May 11, 07:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$2.09May 11, 04:19 UTC
- TRADESELLVariational FDV above $300M one day after launch?$23.98May 11, 04:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBase FDV above $4B one day after launch?$15.55May 5, 06:01 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$7.34May 5, 05:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYExtended FDV above $150M one day after launch?$10.50May 4, 09:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $7.40
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 8, 16:16 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 03:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.