Watery-Sunglasses
0x2bead482f7515b74d09c8a6ad50aeca4308195f4
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
46
Open notional
$29.77
Total PnL
$-18.23
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 46- CHICAGO CUBS
Chicago Cubs vs. Atlanta Braves
3 shares @ 34.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$2.94
$1.94
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
34 shares @ 2.9¢·now 3.4¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$1.17
$0.17
- YES
Fed rate hike in 2026?
3 shares @ 32.0¢·now 34.0¢·exp Dec 9, 2026$1.06
$0.06
- YES
Will "Funny AF with Kevin Hart" be the top US Netflix show this week?
10 shares @ 30.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp May 19, 2026$1.05
$-1.95
- YES
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
80 shares @ 1.2¢·now 1.3¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.05
$0.05
- YES
Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?
15 shares @ 6.7¢·now 6.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.01
$0.01
- YES
Will "Lord of the Flies" be the top US Netflix show this week?
36 shares @ 2.8¢·now 2.8¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.99
$-0.01
- NO
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
5 shares @ 21.0¢·now 20.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.98
$-0.02
- YES
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
5 shares @ 21.0¢·now 20.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.98
$-0.02
- YES
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?
56 shares @ 1.8¢·now 1.8¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.97
$-0.03
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$1.05May 14, 23:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$1.05May 14, 23:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$1.00May 14, 23:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$1.00May 14, 23:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1.04May 14, 23:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by June 30?$1.00May 14, 23:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed rate hike in 2026?$1.03May 14, 23:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$1.04May 14, 23:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 15?$1.00May 14, 23:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$1.03May 14, 23:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$1.03May 14, 23:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$1.04May 14, 23:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYChicago Cubs vs. Atlanta Braves$1.02May 14, 23:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYTampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox$1.02May 14, 23:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?$1.03May 14, 23:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Detroit Pistons win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?$1.03May 14, 23:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Putin meet next in Russia?$1.00May 14, 23:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Farm" or "Farmer" during Chinese State Banquet?$1.04May 14, 23:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Friendship" during Chinese State Banquet?$1.01May 14, 23:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Farm" or "Farmer" during Chinese State Banquet?$1.04May 14, 23:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $3.44
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 8, 20:13 UTC
- Last active
- May 14, 23:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".