Odd-Anarchy
0x2c03d7982b46d6b105986350322de1ea3ae24bb6
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$2.16
Total PnL
$-33.94
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Will Brian Schatz be the next Senate Majority Leader?
2 shares @ 90.0¢·now 95.0¢·exp Jan 3, 2027$2.16
$0.11
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?
100 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in April?
96 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-0.93
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
91 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 17, 2026?
66 shares @ 7.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
65 shares @ 15.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?
40 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-0.93
- YES
Will Iran strike Oman by April 30, 2026?
26 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.10
- NO
Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 10, 2026?
7 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.31Jul 20, 01:47 UTC
- REDEEMNaim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?$1.38Jul 3, 12:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the median home value in the Los Angeles Metro area be less than $1,170,000 on April 30?$1.09May 16, 07:27 UTC
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$13.51May 16, 07:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 17, 2026?$5.00Apr 17, 06:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?$1.00Apr 17, 06:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $95,000 in April?$1.00Apr 17, 06:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$10.00Apr 17, 06:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?$10.00Apr 17, 06:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$10.00Apr 17, 06:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$1.00Apr 17, 06:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?$1.00Apr 17, 06:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 60-61°F on April 12?$2.00Apr 17, 00:08 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?$11.36Apr 17, 00:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?$5.00Apr 10, 19:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 10, 2026?$1.00Apr 9, 21:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the median home value in the Los Angeles Metro area be less than $1,170,000 on April 30?$1.00Apr 9, 20:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Oman by April 30, 2026?$2.10Apr 9, 20:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYNaim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?$1.01Apr 9, 20:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.10Apr 9, 20:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
17 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 70/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 17
- Avg trade size
- $3.36
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 9, 20:55 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 20, 01:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.