Gullible-Stem
0x2c2f33c7e2a73da1231a1835e10f20212be87ae4
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
35
Open notional
$70.10
Total PnL
$-304.76
Realised
$0.14
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 35- YES
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
40 shares @ 37.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$39.85
$24.85
- YES
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
18 shares @ 56.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$17.86
$7.86
- YES
US congress stock trading ban before 2027?
81 shares @ 24.6¢·now 9.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.31
$-12.69
- YES
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
83 shares @ 18.0¢·now 6.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.08
$-9.92
- YES
Will the Bank of Canada announce a 50+ bps decrease at the July meeting?
1048 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?
955 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
571 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Frankenstein win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
355 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
280 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the Bank of Canada announce a 25 bps decrease at the July meeting?
257 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$10.00Apr 2, 02:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?$5.00Mar 9, 18:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 14?$10.00Mar 9, 17:58 UTC
- REDEEMSupreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?$21.35Feb 20, 20:05 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$26.45Feb 9, 20:01 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?$6.90Feb 9, 20:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?$5.00Feb 9, 19:38 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$7.35Feb 9, 19:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill two people dissent the January Fed decision?$8.06Feb 9, 19:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Frankenstein win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$5.00Jan 23, 00:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? $10.00Jan 12, 22:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Zaliznychne by January 31?$5.00Jan 12, 22:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by February 28?$5.00Jan 12, 22:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by January 31?$5.00Jan 12, 22:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$5.00Jan 12, 22:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$15.00Jan 12, 22:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?$5.00Jan 12, 22:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill two people dissent the January Fed decision?$5.00Jan 12, 21:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$10.00Jan 12, 21:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS congress stock trading ban before 2027?$20.00Jan 12, 21:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $10.55
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 20, 13:32 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 2, 02:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".