Frizzy-Circumstance
0x2c4a66747f2f94dbbe4fb80c03af72b7ab64cd69
Wallet digest
Activity score
91/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
43
Open notional
$403.21
Total PnL
$27.72
Realised
$33.24
Win rate
43%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 43- NO
Will Trump say "Third term" in March?
147 shares @ 97.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$146.86
$3.86
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
121 shares @ 71.2¢·now 83.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$100.81
$14.81
- YES
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
45 shares @ 2.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$45.45
$44.45
- YES
Will the Virginia constitutional amendment referendum pass by 3-6%?
16 shares @ 96.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$15.51
$0.53
- NO
Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by April 30?
14 shares @ 90.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$14.37
$1.37
- YES
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 190m and 200m?
13 shares @ 98.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$13.20
$0.20
- YES
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?
11 shares @ 97.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$11.26
$0.33
- YES
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
9 shares @ 21.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$9.35
$7.35
- YES
Will Trump talk to Mohammed bin Salman in March?
7 shares @ 96.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$7.26
$0.26
- NO
Will the Virginia constitutional amendment referendum pass by less than 3%?
6 shares @ 95.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$6.27
$0.27
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYClavicular pregnancy in 2026?$1.00Apr 28, 09:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYClavicular pregnancy in 2026?$1.00Apr 28, 08:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYClavicular pregnancy in 2026?$1.00Apr 28, 08:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYClavicular pregnancy in 2026?$1.00Apr 28, 07:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYClavicular pregnancy in 2026?$1.00Apr 28, 03:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYClavicular pregnancy in 2026?$1.00Apr 28, 03:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYClavicular pregnancy in 2026?$1.00Apr 28, 01:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYClavicular pregnancy in 2026?$1.00Apr 28, 01:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYClavicular pregnancy in 2026?$1.00Apr 28, 01:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYClavicular pregnancy in 2026?$1.00Apr 28, 01:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYClavicular pregnancy in 2026?$1.00Apr 28, 00:58 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump renames ICE to NICE by June 30?$2.03Apr 27, 19:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump renames ICE to NICE by June 30?$1.00Apr 27, 18:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump renames ICE to NICE by June 30?$1.00Apr 27, 18:00 UTC
- TRADESELLClavicular pregnancy in 2026?$1.82Apr 27, 17:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYClavicular pregnancy in 2026?$1.00Apr 27, 08:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYClavicular pregnancy in 2026?$1.00Apr 27, 08:55 UTC
- TRADESELLClavicular pregnancy in 2026?$11.46Apr 26, 23:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYClavicular pregnancy in 2026?$1.00Apr 26, 21:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYClavicular pregnancy in 2026?$1.00Apr 26, 21:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $1.29
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 23, 13:22 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 28, 09:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.