Better-Mention
0x2c4ca29d332c67d3ad7bf22b3cfe9486e3b1cb39
Wallet digest
Activity score
93/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
81
Open notional
$14.8K
Total PnL
$-275.3K
Realised
$18.2K
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 81- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
11111 shares @ 71.0¢·now 99.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$11.0K
$3.1K
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
12351 shares @ 29.0¢·now 16.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.0K
$-1.5K
- YES
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?
4840 shares @ 27.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$750.26
$-556.64
- YES
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay
3010 shares @ 23.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$526.81
$-165.57
- YES
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
248 shares @ 3.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$144.93
$137.51
- YES
Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
24891 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$87.12
$-403.90
- YES
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
248 shares @ 3.0¢·now 32.6¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$80.76
$73.35
- YES
Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
20673 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$72.35
$-155.05
- YES
Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026?
429 shares @ 14.0¢·now 5.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$21.69
$-38.43
- NO
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?
18 shares @ 89.0¢·now 98.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$17.53
$1.75
Recent activity
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$653.76Jun 9, 22:20 UTC
- REDEEMKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?$16.7KJun 9, 22:20 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 10, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?$15.78May 9, 21:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 9, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 8, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 7, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 6, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 5, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 4, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 3, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 2, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 1, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Apr 30, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Apr 29, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Apr 28, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Apr 27, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Apr 26, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Apr 25, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Apr 24, 00:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 19
- Avg trade size
- $247.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 14, 00:43 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 9, 22:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.