Forthright-Cube
0x2c4e99fc94a89efab46ce3909a52d11573d49e0b
Wallet digest
Activity score
95/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$964.19
Total PnL
$99.72
Realised
$185.57
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- YES
Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?
900 shares @ 30.0¢·now 26.0¢·exp Sep 20, 2026$234.00
$-36.00
- NO
Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?
259 shares @ 85.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Sep 20, 2026$226.47
$6.47
- YES
Will United Russia win between 310 and 324 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?
652 shares @ 20.1¢·now 19.6¢·exp Sep 20, 2026$127.50
$-3.68
- NO
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
143 shares @ 70.0¢·now 67.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$96.43
$-3.57
- NO
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
227 shares @ 44.0¢·now 41.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$94.32
$-5.68
- YES
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
269 shares @ 37.1¢·now 34.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$91.52
$-8.48
- YES
Will United Russia win between 295 and 309 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?
640 shares @ 7.8¢·now 8.6¢·exp Sep 20, 2026$54.74
$4.50
- NO
Will Russia capture Novodmytrivka by July 31?
28 shares @ 85.8¢·now 97.7¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$27.79
$3.38
- YES
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by September 30?
7 shares @ 67.0¢·now 80.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$5.97
$0.97
- YES
Will United Russia win between 280 and 294 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?
65 shares @ 4.2¢·now 6.4¢·exp Sep 20, 2026$4.16
$1.41
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the July Meeting?$2.55Jul 22, 07:38 UTC
- REWARD$2.55Jul 22, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?$50.00Jul 21, 17:22 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Cuba military clash in 2026?$50.00Jul 21, 17:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United Russia win between 310 and 324 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?$6.30Jul 21, 17:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United Russia win between 295 and 309 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?$7.00Jul 21, 17:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United Russia win between 280 and 294 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?$2.00Jul 21, 17:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United Russia win between 295 and 309 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?$5.00Jul 21, 17:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United Russia win between 295 and 309 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?$5.00Jul 21, 17:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United Russia win between 295 and 309 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?$30.00Jul 21, 17:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United Russia win between 310 and 324 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?$120.00Jul 21, 17:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?$170.00Jul 21, 08:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United Russia win between 310 and 324 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?$4.87Jul 21, 06:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United Russia win between 280 and 294 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?$0.75Jul 21, 06:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?$267.23Jul 21, 01:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?$2.77Jul 20, 23:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United Russia win between 295 and 309 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?$1.05Jul 20, 23:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United Russia win between 295 and 309 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?$2.19Jul 20, 23:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$100.00Jul 20, 22:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$100.00Jul 20, 22:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 63/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $124.99
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 18, 11:28 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 07:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.