Thorough-Dirndl
0x2c719eda7df78ee45bd96cc8bed6cea94406a36d
Wallet digest
Activity score
81/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
68
Open notional
$501.74
Total PnL
$-934.84
Realised
$-3.30
Win rate
67%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 68- NO
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?
200 shares @ 34.0¢·now 52.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$104.00
$36.00
- YES
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
200 shares @ 30.0¢·now 45.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$91.00
$31.00
- YES
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?
40 shares @ 86.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$40.00
$5.60
- NO
SPLC found guilty in 2026?
104 shares @ 55.1¢·now 35.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$37.02
$-20.48
- YES
Will James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?
50 shares @ 73.0¢·now 65.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$32.50
$-4.00
- YES
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
480 shares @ 6.4¢·now 6.2¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$29.52
$-1.08
- YES
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1540 shares @ 2.2¢·now 1.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$25.41
$-8.88
- YES
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
220 shares @ 9.1¢·now 10.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$21.89
$1.87
- YES
Prince Andrew sentenced to prison?
300 shares @ 16.2¢·now 7.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$21.00
$-27.60
- YES
Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1500 shares @ 1.3¢·now 1.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$20.25
$0.75
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01May 18, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 17, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 16, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 15, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 14, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 13, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$20.75May 12, 18:42 UTC
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$100.00May 12, 18:40 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 12, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$9.88May 11, 20:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYConfirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?$34.64May 11, 03:21 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 11, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 10, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYSPLC found guilty in 2026?$1.08May 9, 04:49 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 9, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYSPLC found guilty in 2026?$0.42May 8, 13:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?$34.78May 8, 13:46 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 8, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother Trump political opponent federally charged by May 31?$26.78May 7, 23:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother Trump political opponent federally charged by May 31?$1.22May 7, 21:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $23.53
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 24, 07:12 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".