0x2c7a8806eb52a36c478eea48e0dbfc378bae68e0
0x2c7a8806eb52a36c478eea48e0dbfc378bae68e0
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
56
Open notional
$0.93
Total PnL
$-1.0K
Realised
$35.77
Win rate
83%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 56- NO
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?
4 shares @ 35.0¢·now 22.5¢·exp Aug 2, 2026$0.93
$-0.52
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET
1494 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-75.00
- YES
Will Austria win on 2026-07-02?
1290 shares @ 7.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?
697 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-33.82
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET
665 shares @ 21.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-140.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET
584 shares @ 16.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-96.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET
519 shares @ 11.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-61.00
- YES
Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?
485 shares @ 20.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-98.47
- NOVAK DJOKOVIC
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic
250 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$0.00
$-79.91
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET
238 shares @ 33.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-80.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?$1.45Jul 31, 22:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET$1.06Jul 31, 21:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET$5.28Jul 31, 21:18 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET$7.19Jul 31, 21:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET$1.04Jul 31, 21:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET$1.04Jul 31, 21:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET$1.04Jul 31, 21:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET$1.04Jul 31, 21:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$4.60Jul 31, 21:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET$10.54Jul 31, 21:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET$10.50Jul 31, 21:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET$10.45Jul 31, 21:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET$10.43Jul 31, 21:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET$10.43Jul 31, 21:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET$10.43Jul 31, 21:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET$10.43Jul 31, 21:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET$10.43Jul 31, 21:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET$10.69Jul 31, 21:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET$5.34Jul 31, 21:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET$10.66Jul 31, 21:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
17/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
83% win rate over 6 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 74/100.
6 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $12.84
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 31, 20:54 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 31, 22:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.