Whimsical-Imitation
0x2cc798c8eef1fae6266c5cda2bf2b607c5372385
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
77
Open notional
$3.0K
Total PnL
$-1.9K
Realised
$-287.99
Win rate
31%
29 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 77- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
1000 shares @ 80.2¢·now 79.5¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$794.49
$-7.62
- NO
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
800 shares @ 88.6¢·now 80.2¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$641.60
$-67.20
- YES
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?
400 shares @ 85.5¢·now 81.2¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$324.60
$-17.40
- NO
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?
200 shares @ 90.1¢·now 80.7¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$161.40
$-18.80
- NO
Will Trump say "Russia" during cabinet meeting?
384 shares @ 39.2¢·now 24.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$93.98
$-56.26
- NO
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
200 shares @ 75.0¢·now 42.5¢·exp Sep 16, 2026$85.00
$-65.00
- NO
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?
1741 shares @ 6.2¢·now 4.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$78.37
$-29.25
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
200 shares @ 68.0¢·now 37.5¢·exp Sep 16, 2026$75.00
$-61.00
- NO
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 30?
3215 shares @ 3.9¢·now 2.1¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$67.52
$-59.26
- NO
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?
200 shares @ 69.0¢·now 31.5¢·exp Dec 9, 2026$63.00
$-75.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Nobody Like Him" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?$1.69Jul 28, 16:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Transparent" during cabinet meeting?$2.07Jul 28, 16:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Stop Calling Me" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?$114.64Jul 28, 16:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Gay" or "Homosexual" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?$18.99Jul 28, 16:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Nobody Like Him" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?$10.00Jul 28, 16:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Job" 20+ times during cabinet meeting?$5.00Jul 28, 16:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Job" 20+ times during cabinet meeting?$7.50Jul 28, 16:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Nobody Like Him" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?$2.00Jul 28, 16:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Gay" or "Homosexual" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?$0.54Jul 28, 15:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Ukraine" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?$11.64Jul 28, 15:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during cabinet meeting?$0.25Jul 28, 15:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during cabinet meeting?$0.78Jul 28, 15:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during cabinet meeting?$0.03Jul 28, 15:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Transparent" during cabinet meeting?$5.00Jul 28, 15:53 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?$2.78Jul 28, 15:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?$44.70Jul 28, 15:49 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?$0.33Jul 28, 15:44 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?$0.61Jul 28, 15:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "See You Soon" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?$24.25Jul 28, 15:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Patriot" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?$25.23Jul 28, 15:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
52/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
31% win rate over 29 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 36/100.
29 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $13.10
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 28, 13:57 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 16:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 29 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.