Probable-Soul
0x2cd1d246218791da21cfa0663ff2f05903daaae1
Wallet digest
Activity score
86/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$1.4K
Total PnL
$-81.04
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be less than 300k?
1412 shares @ 99.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$1.4K
$10.33
- YES
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
28 shares @ 87.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-24.00
- YES
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
23 shares @ 84.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-19.10
- NO
Will Venezuela win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?
18 shares @ 94.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-17.00
- YES
Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
14 shares @ 66.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-9.00
- YES
Will Ja Morant be traded this season?
10 shares @ 71.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 5, 2026$0.00
$-7.17
- AVALANCHE
Golden Knights vs. Avalanche
8 shares @ 64.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.00
$-5.40
- YES
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open?
7 shares @ 72.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- ALEXANDER ZVEREV
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Luciano Darderi vs Alexander Zverev
6 shares @ 80.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.00
$-4.70
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.08May 19, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYGolden Knights vs. Avalanche$5.46May 18, 12:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be less than 300k?$1.4KMay 18, 12:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.3KMay 18, 12:10 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?$17.44May 18, 12:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill a different combination of candidates advance to the runoff?$32.43May 18, 12:09 UTC
- YIELD$0.14May 18, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.14May 17, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.14May 16, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.14May 15, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.14May 14, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.14May 13, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYInternazionali BNL d'Italia: Luciano Darderi vs Alexander Zverev$4.73May 12, 10:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$19.78May 12, 10:23 UTC
- YIELD$0.14May 12, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.08May 11, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?$15.00May 10, 10:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open?$5.04May 10, 10:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.3KMay 10, 10:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?$1.4KMay 10, 10:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $291.70
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 9, 02:40 UTC
- Last active
- May 19, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.