Tiny-Thermostat
0x2cdcba387db1eef48326b9de484d36538dffbca2
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
54
Open notional
$67.41
Total PnL
$-186.58
Realised
$153.77
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 54- NO
Will Titan launch a token by December 31, 2026?
34 shares @ 29.0¢·now 69.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$23.79
$13.79
- YES
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
24 shares @ 6.4¢·now 64.3¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$15.28
$13.75
- NO
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?
15 shares @ 32.6¢·now 57.3¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$8.78
$3.78
- YES
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
429 shares @ 7.0¢·now 1.8¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$7.93
$-22.07
- YES
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
879 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.9¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$7.91
$-7.09
- YES
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
202 shares @ 5.0¢·now 1.8¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$3.73
$-6.27
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down on July 17?
3000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 17, 2025$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
1442 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
US x Venezuela military engagement by October 24?
1170 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-34.10
- YES
Macron cocaine use confirmed?
1000 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$9.05May 5, 13:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$10.00Mar 19, 12:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$10.00Mar 19, 12:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$30.00Mar 19, 12:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?$5.00Feb 13, 21:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy talk to Putin by March 31?$5.00Jan 10, 21:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP reach $2.80 in January?$2.00Jan 3, 22:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Titan launch a token by December 31, 2026?$10.00Jan 3, 22:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYMaduro in U.S. custody by January 31?$1.00Jan 3, 22:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $160 end of January?$3.00Jan 3, 22:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$3.00Jan 3, 22:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$5.00Jan 3, 22:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYCilia Flores released from custody by January 9, 2026?$3.00Jan 3, 22:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on December 30?$1.96Dec 30, 09:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 30?$1.43Dec 30, 09:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on December 30?$0.97Dec 30, 09:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $90,000 and $92,000 on December 30?$1.31Dec 30, 09:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on December 30?$5.00Dec 29, 14:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 30?$5.00Dec 29, 14:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on December 30?$10.00Dec 29, 14:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $6.92
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 24, 22:29 UTC
- Last active
- May 5, 13:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.