Haunting-Haze
0x2d03f2d8701a9b94ed4ae6fde5249e3f9adeef8e
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
12
Open notional
$12.73
Total PnL
$-1.3K
Realised
$-366.49
Win rate
60%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026?
8 shares @ 79.0¢·now 96.3¢·exp Oct 1, 2026$7.70
$1.38
- NO
Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?
9 shares @ 91.8¢·now 55.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.03
$-3.24
- YES
Will Trump say "Ayatollah" or "Khamenei" during the State of the Union address?
705 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-105.75
- EVANSVILLE ACES
Spread: Southern Illinois Salukis (-4.5)
437 shares @ 86.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-375.82
- M80
Valorant: sleepers vs M80 (BO3) - VCL North America Playoffs
256 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$0.00
$-122.88
- NO
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 29, 2026?
204 shares @ 72.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-146.88
- NO
Will "Microsoft" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?
136 shares @ 77.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-104.72
- YES
Will Starmer say "Mandelson" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
107 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-25.68
- NO
Will "Oscar" or "Oscars" be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (March 29)
105 shares @ 62.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$0.00
$-65.10
- YES
Will Trump say “Slopadopolous” by February 28?
20 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.60
Recent activity
- TRADESELLNew pandemic in 2026?$0.80Jun 16, 05:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be at least 1,000 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?$1.00Apr 13, 02:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill RS Berkane win on 2026-01-26?$6.09Apr 13, 02:30 UTC
- REDEEMNational T20 Cup: Karachi Region Whites vs Tbc A$376.00Apr 13, 02:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Portsmouth FC vs. Ipswich Town FC end in a draw?$6.75Apr 11, 17:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Portsmouth FC vs. Ipswich Town FC end in a draw?$353.25Apr 11, 17:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portsmouth FC vs. Ipswich Town FC end in a draw?$388.80Apr 7, 23:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Austria come in last place at Eurovision 2026?$160.93Mar 30, 15:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Austria come in last place at Eurovision 2026?$46.55Mar 30, 15:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "They Will Kill You" score at least 65 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?$181.39Mar 30, 14:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "They Will Kill You" score at least 65 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?$127.16Mar 29, 22:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Austria come in last place at Eurovision 2026?$102.60Mar 29, 18:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Austria come in last place at Eurovision 2026?$104.88Mar 29, 18:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jurgen Klopp be appointed as manager of Real Madrid?$283.72Mar 25, 17:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jurgen Klopp be appointed as manager of Real Madrid?$51.66Mar 25, 17:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jurgen Klopp be appointed as manager of Real Madrid?$327.20Mar 23, 19:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Oscar" or "Oscars" be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (March 29)$65.10Mar 23, 18:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran successfully target shipping on March 25, 2026?$366.24Mar 22, 13:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump post "Cornyn" on Truth Social this week?$25.91Mar 22, 07:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran successfully target shipping on March 25, 2026?$361.88Mar 21, 01:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
16/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
60% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 72/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $132.09
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 12, 23:59 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 16, 05:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.