Cumbersome-Rugby
0x2d1999ae7858c3620fc48800f20f3fd8e24cfb97
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
10
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-628.45
Realised
$33.10
Win rate
60%
5 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?
4439 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-57.72
- NO
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 23, 2026?
1124 shares @ 15.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$0.00
$-170.58
- YES
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?
912 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 25, 2026$0.00
$-182.31
- YES
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?
731 shares @ 19.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-141.51
- YES
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?
537 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-85.79
- YES
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?
102 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.97
- NO
Will Trump talk to Emmanuel Macron in April?
77 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.30
- YES
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Turkey?
70 shares @ 8.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-6.04
- NO
Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on April 10, 2026?
47 shares @ 18.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-8.80
- NO
Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on April 9, 2026?
15 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-3.53
Recent activity
- REDEEMIsrael x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?$888.15May 29, 07:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?$189.84Apr 23, 20:22 UTC
- REWARD$4.45Apr 23, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?$25.64Apr 22, 22:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 23, 2026?$0.18Apr 22, 21:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?$1.13Apr 22, 21:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?$40.00Apr 22, 21:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?$67.50Apr 22, 21:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?$73.68Apr 22, 21:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 23, 2026?$1.60Apr 22, 21:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 23, 2026?$2.48Apr 22, 21:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 23, 2026?$3.24Apr 22, 21:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 23, 2026?$0.70Apr 22, 21:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 23, 2026?$7.00Apr 22, 21:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 23, 2026?$0.28Apr 22, 21:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 23, 2026?$0.28Apr 22, 21:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 23, 2026?$2.23Apr 22, 21:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 23, 2026?$1.47Apr 22, 21:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 23, 2026?$1.15Apr 22, 21:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 23, 2026?$0.32Apr 22, 21:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $10.70
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 22, 18:18 UTC
- Last active
- May 29, 07:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.