Velvety-Object
0x2d78182debee105eceff85b5f898542af65d5b09
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
200
Open notional
$262.67
Total PnL
$-364.26
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will anyone say "Password" during Rick and Morty E4 S9?
83 shares @ 59.9¢·now 85.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$70.91
$20.91
- YES
Will Canada be the worst-placed host nation in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
91 shares @ 55.0¢·now 75.5¢·exp Aug 3, 2026$68.64
$18.64
- NO
Another RFK Jr animal rescue by June 30?
70 shares @ 71.6¢·now 76.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$53.07
$3.07
- YES
Trump out as President before 2027?
118 shares @ 17.0¢·now 10.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$11.76
$-8.24
- YES
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?
30 shares @ 33.0¢·now 23.0¢·exp Jan 3, 2027$6.97
$-3.03
- YES
Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30?
90 shares @ 5.5¢·now 7.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$6.79
$1.80
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
17 shares @ 23.7¢·now 22.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$3.88
$-0.12
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
15 shares @ 20.0¢·now 23.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$3.49
$0.49
- YES
Will Marco Rubio attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
30 shares @ 3.3¢·now 11.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.45
$2.45
- YES
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
17 shares @ 18.0¢·now 19.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.25
$0.25
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 23 be between 85 and 90?$1.05Jun 13, 12:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman?$1.00Jun 13, 12:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman?$1.00Jun 12, 18:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?$16.38Jun 12, 17:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$2.00Jun 11, 18:25 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$121.76Jun 11, 18:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill anyone say "Password" during Rick and Morty E4 S9?$50.80Jun 11, 12:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill anyone say "Planet" during Rick and Morty E4 S9?$2.08Jun 11, 12:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump attend 0 World Cup matches?$2.09Jun 11, 12:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12?$5.00Jun 10, 16:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close its airspace by June 12?$1.00Jun 10, 13:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump praise Allah by June 30?$9.98Jun 10, 13:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 10, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?$4.00Jun 9, 12:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$3.10Jun 9, 12:34 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 9, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Nuke" this week?$5.13Jun 8, 12:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada be the worst-placed host nation in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$50.67Jun 8, 12:24 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 8, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 7, 00:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $16.72
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 27, 12:42 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 12:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.