Trivial-Lacquerware-Ballot
0x2d8bd7788935d036b6a61448808ba6c6feee80c5
Wallet digest
Activity score
95/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$587.91
Total PnL
$47.73
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
95 shares @ 84.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$89.05
$9.05
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
101 shares @ 79.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$86.58
$6.58
- NO
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?
70 shares @ 71.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$63.73
$13.73
- YES
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 1-June 7?
74 shares @ 82.8¢·now 84.5¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$62.77
$1.23
- NO
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?
57 shares @ 88.0¢·now 99.2¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$56.34
$6.34
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
62 shares @ 81.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$52.16
$2.16
- NO
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?
77 shares @ 65.0¢·now 64.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$49.62
$-0.38
- NO
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
51 shares @ 79.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$45.32
$5.32
- NO
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
59 shares @ 68.0¢·now 74.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$43.82
$3.82
- YES
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?
30 shares @ 74.0¢·now 65.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$19.50
$-2.70
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?$7.30Jun 7, 01:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?$7.40Jun 7, 01:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?$7.50Jun 7, 01:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 1-June 7?$16.00Jun 6, 22:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 1-June 7?$16.40Jun 6, 22:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 1-June 7?$17.00Jun 6, 22:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 1-June 7?$12.14Jun 6, 21:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?$16.44Jun 6, 21:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$50.00Jun 6, 20:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?$50.00Jun 6, 20:44 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET$0.00Jun 3, 19:08 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET$0.00Jun 3, 06:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET$20.21Jun 2, 19:41 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET$10.00Jun 2, 19:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET$5.21Jun 2, 19:30 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET$0.00Jun 2, 19:29 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET$8.75Jun 2, 19:28 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET$5.50Jun 2, 19:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET$10.36Jun 2, 19:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET$4.60Jun 2, 19:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $11.30
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 2, 16:49 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 7, 01:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.