Cooperative-Metal
0x2df5ad0f2612c7bcf5f87543e126e0aa351051ac
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
57
Open notional
$1.3K
Total PnL
$-700.98
Realised
$198.20
Win rate
43%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 57- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
1963 shares @ 43.4¢·now 6.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$127.61
$-724.52
- YES
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
401 shares @ 24.9¢·now 29.8¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$119.65
$19.96
- YES
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
214 shares @ 53.8¢·now 47.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$101.09
$-13.91
- NO
Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?
99 shares @ 70.0¢·now 88.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$87.12
$17.82
- YES
Iran leadership change by December 31?
346 shares @ 48.8¢·now 16.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$57.05
$-111.74
- NO
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
100 shares @ 58.0¢·now 52.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$52.50
$-5.50
- NO
Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on August 31?
55 shares @ 72.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$51.42
$11.82
- NO
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?
66 shares @ 30.0¢·now 63.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$41.58
$21.78
- YES
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?
55 shares @ 55.0¢·now 74.5¢·exp Nov 30, 2026$40.98
$10.72
- NO
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
229 shares @ 17.8¢·now 17.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$40.87
$0.01
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Aug 17, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by June 30, 2027?$2.86Aug 16, 11:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by June 30, 2027?$0.71Aug 16, 11:57 UTC
- REDEEMUS-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15?$87.99Aug 16, 06:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by June 30, 2027?$13.59Aug 16, 00:21 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Aug 16, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?$0.66Aug 15, 22:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?$31.90Aug 15, 22:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$4.56Aug 15, 12:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$10.17Aug 15, 12:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 14, 2026?$0.00Aug 15, 11:59 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Aug 15, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill John Stevens get second place in the Clacton by-election?$0.00Aug 14, 11:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 13, 2026?$0.00Aug 14, 11:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$8.41Aug 14, 01:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Aug 14, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Aug 13, 00:15 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?$0.00Aug 12, 18:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 11, 2026?$0.00Aug 12, 18:34 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?$0.00Aug 12, 18:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
28/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
43% win rate over 7 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
18 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 50/100.
7 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $6.58
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 9, 09:30 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 17, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.