Functional-Elephant
0x2e0027a2a2c347d5e0275267d5fbdd633c5b748b
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$121.58
Total PnL
$42.02
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?
96 shares @ 44.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$95.70
$53.59
- NO
Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by April 30?
8 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$8.05
$0.05
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
7 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$7.14
$0.36
- NO
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
6 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$5.69
$0.02
- YES
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 15?
5 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.00
$0.01
- YES
Will the price of XRP be above $2.60 on October 13?
8 shares @ 52.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 13, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Microsoft be the second most valuable company on October 31?
4 shares @ 84.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
Will Apple be the second most valuable company on October 31?
4 shares @ 85.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Meteora FDV above $1B one day after launch?
2 shares @ 93.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYTrump declassifies new UFO files by May 15?$5.00May 16, 14:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$6.80May 16, 14:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$5.67Apr 28, 18:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by April 30?$8.00Apr 28, 18:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill XRP reach $2.60 in March?$4.04Apr 28, 18:28 UTC
- REWARD$0.91Mar 26, 00:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 4?$4.75Mar 24, 17:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase March 3-9?$7.08Mar 24, 17:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP reach $2.60 in March?$4.00Mar 4, 19:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase March 3-9?$7.00Mar 4, 19:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 4?$4.70Mar 4, 19:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Netflix (NFLX) finish week of February 9 above $60?$4.04Mar 4, 19:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $175 on February 10?$8.03Mar 4, 19:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $175 on February 10?$8.00Feb 9, 19:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netflix (NFLX) finish week of February 9 above $60?$4.00Feb 9, 18:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $4,000 in January?$21.16Feb 9, 18:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $3,800 in January?$21.43Feb 9, 18:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $3,800 in January?$19.72Jan 11, 16:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $4,000 in January?$20.00Jan 11, 16:11 UTC
- REDEEMNothing Ever Happens: Conspiracy Edition$1.04Jan 11, 16:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $25.03
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 23, 14:19 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 14:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.